John Hussman: Cracking the autism code
John Hussman lives by research. It's how he analyzed markets as an economics professor. It's how he returned 5% annually over the past decade (and beat the S&P 500) at his eponymous $6 billion mutual fund. It's how he predicted a recession in late 2007 (and why he thinks stocks are overpriced today ). And it's how he's attacking an unusual adversary for a fund manager: autism.
Over the past 15 years Hussman, 48, has thrown himself into understanding the disorder -- ever since his son, J.P., was diagnosed with it as a child. Because the vast majority of cases show a family link (a relative on J.P.'s mother's side is autistic), Hussman has focused on its genetic causes. Almost completely self-taught, he's spent nights and family vacations poring over obscure scientific textbooks (he says he's Amazon.com's best customer) and research abstracts. He not only funded a genomics center at the University of Miami , but has spent years collaborating with scientists there. published his findings in a paper that top researchers are calling a breakthrough. The dense, 16-page article features Ph.D.-level mathematics and abstruse genetic analyses. (We'll spare you the details, but you can check it out here .)
"I found it really interesting," says Dan Geschwind, a leading autism researcher at UCLA's School of Medicine. Joseph Buxbaum, another top researcher at Mount Sinai School of Medicine, says, "People are beginning to think about other areas where the mathematics and statistics have really evolved, and then bringing them back to genetics. This is a really neat example." Buxbaum himself is using methods borrowed from astrophysics to research autism.
Hussman's advance, researchers say, consists of the patterns he has found across hundreds of autism cases. Each person is the result of millions of genetic coin flips that occur across the human genome. Hussman's algorithm can detect unusual clusters of flips that may be linked to autism. There's a second benefit too. If you look at each coin flip separately to find the ones causing autism, you miss something because the flips are interconnected by genetic material -- one flip can influence another. Until now, autism researchers haven't been able to fully incorporate that influence into their research. Hussman created a way to do that, using complex statistics he learned from studying markets. "In finance, when you see the same signal across two different markets or countries, you take that as a stronger signal of information than if you only saw that signal in one market," he says. "It's similar in genetics.
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The end goal is to use a list of troublesome genes for therapeutic benefits like early intervention with children or even to predict risk of the disorder, says Mount Sinai's Buxbaum. Meanwhile, Hussman is becoming a popular figure in the autism

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